Geopolitics / Diplomacy / Energy

Iran / Israel / U.S. / Lebanon / Energy crisis watch

Chronological coverage of the Iran, Israel, U.S., and Lebanon conflict and its effects on diplomacy, shipping, and energy markets.

Current status

Iran and Qatar give conflicting accounts of three downed pilots

Iran's military said Qatar is holding three pilots from aircraft downed in March. Qatar denied detaining them, said its search-and-rescue team recovered one pilot's remains, and said Iran did not respond to an April invitation to discuss the case.

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34 months
Ledger entries
313
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424

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Shipping and energy indicators

Strait of Hormuz · transits per day, 7-day average

4.4 14.8%

1.4 tankers per day · previous 7 days averaged 3.9 · latest reported day logged 1

Suez Canal
48 · 16 tankers
Bab el-Mandeb Strait
34 · 9 tankers
Cape of Good Hope
83 · 16 tankers

Vessel transits from IMF PortWatch. Counts are satellite-derived and revise upward as later positions arrive.

Energy prices

Brent crude per barrel
$88.52 0.4%
WTI crude per barrel
$82.40 1.0%
RBOB gasoline per gallon
$2.904 7.4%
Natural gas per MMBtu
$2.733 1.2%

Front-month futures via Yahoo Finance, change against previous close. Quoted .

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313 sourced entries

Showing 305–313

  1. DiplomacyOfficial

    Fragile Iran-war ceasefire announced without Israel in the talks

    AP's timeline says a fragile ceasefire in the Iran war was announced on April 7, with negotiations to continue and Israel not included in the talks.

    Local time
    Apr 7 2026, 12:00 PM Tehran time; source gives date marker, exact hour not specified
    Location
    Iran / United States talks
    Relationship
    Background
    Source
  2. StrikeReported

    Hezbollah enters the Iran war with rocket fire at Israel

    Roadside cease-ish fire sign being repainted in a south Lebanon collage.
    A ceasefire in need of wet paint.Illustration · not evidence

    AP records Hezbollah entering the war on March 2 by firing rockets at Israel, with Israel retaliating, two days after the U.S.-Israel attack on Iran.

    Local time
    Mar 2 2026, 12:00 PM Beirut time; source gives date marker, exact hour not specified
    Location
    Lebanon-Israel front
    Relationship
    Background
    Sources
  3. PolicyReported

    U.S. and Israel attack Iran; the 2026 Iran war begins

    AP's timeline marks Feb. 28 as the point when the United States and Israel attacked Iran and the war began, setting up the ceasefire and escalation cycle now visible on the board.

    Local time
    Feb 28 2026, 12:00 PM Tehran time; source gives date marker, exact hour not specified
    Location
    Iran / regional theater
    Relationship
    Background
    Sources
  4. DiplomacyOfficial

    U.S.-brokered Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire takes effect

    Roadside cease-ish fire sign being repainted in a south Lebanon collage.
    A ceasefire in need of wet paint.Illustration · not evidence

    A U.S.-brokered ceasefire nominally ended the 2024 Israel-Hezbollah war, but AP notes Israel continued regular strikes in Lebanon that it said were meant to stop Hezbollah from rebuilding.

    Local time
    Nov 27 2024, 4:00 AM Beirut time
    Location
    Lebanon / Israel
    Relationship
    Background
    Source
  5. StrikeConfirmed

    Hassan Nasrallah killed in Beirut airstrikes

    Roadside cease-ish fire sign being repainted in a south Lebanon collage.
    A ceasefire in need of wet paint.Illustration · not evidence

    AP's timeline records Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah's death in massive Israeli airstrikes on Beirut's southern suburbs.

    Local time
    Sep 27 2024, 6:00 PM Beirut time; source gives date marker, exact hour not specified
    Location
    Beirut southern suburbs, Lebanon
    Relationship
    Background
    Source
  6. StrikeReported

    Exploding pagers and radios mark a major Lebanon escalation

    Roadside cease-ish fire sign being repainted in a south Lebanon collage.
    A ceasefire in need of wet paint.Illustration · not evidence

    AP's Hezbollah timeline records remotely triggered pager attacks on Sept. 17 and follow-on walkie-talkie attacks a day later, killing dozens and maiming thousands, mostly Hezbollah members but also civilians.

    Local time
    Sep 17 2024, 12:00 PM Beirut time; source gives date marker, exact hour not specified
    Location
    Lebanon
    Relationship
    Background
    Source
  7. MarketConfirmed

    Houthi Red Sea attacks turn the war into a shipping crisis

    The Houthis hijacked the Galaxy Leader on Nov. 19 after earlier missile and drone attacks, expanding the conflict into the Red Sea route and pushing ships toward longer, costlier voyages around Africa.

    Local time
    Nov 19 2023, 12:00 PM Yemen time; source gives date marker, exact hour not specified
    Location
    Red Sea / Bab el-Mandeb
    Relationship
    Background
    Sources
  8. ContextConfirmed

    Hezbollah opens the Lebanon-Israel border front

    Roadside cease-ish fire sign being repainted in a south Lebanon collage.
    A ceasefire in need of wet paint.Illustration · not evidence

    One day after the Hamas-led attack, Hezbollah fired missiles across the border; Israel answered with airstrikes and shelling, creating the low-intensity Lebanon front that later became central to the wider crisis.

    Local time
    Oct 8 2023, 12:00 PM Beirut time; source gives date marker, exact hour not specified
    Location
    Lebanon-Israel border
    Relationship
    Background
    Source