Geopolitics / Diplomacy / Energy
Iran / Israel / U.S. / Lebanon / Energy crisis watch
Chronological coverage of the Iran, Israel, U.S., and Lebanon conflict and its effects on diplomacy, shipping, and energy markets.
Current status
Hormuz threats and maritime attacks deepen regional conflict pressure
Trump said he may declare the Strait of Hormuz U.S. territory and impose economic measures on Iran as negotiations remain stalled. The UAE said Iranian forces struck two ADNOC-linked tankers, while a Houthi missile attack on Mokha port killed six people.
Supporting entries4
Supporting entries
Synthesis from the linked entries · refreshed · method
- Coverage span
- 34 months
- Ledger entries
- 316
- Named sources
- 422
Latest
Latest developments
Live context
Shipping and energy indicators
Strait of Hormuz · transits per day, 7-day average
4.4▲ 14.8%
1.4 tankers per day · previous 7 days averaged 3.9 · latest reported day logged 1
- Suez Canal
- 48 · 16 tankers
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait
- 34 · 9 tankers
- Cape of Good Hope
- 83 · 16 tankers
Vessel transits from IMF PortWatch. Counts are satellite-derived and revise upward as later positions arrive.
Energy prices
- Brent crude per barrel
- $88.52▲ 0.9%
- WTI crude per barrel
- $82.40▲ 0.3%
- RBOB gasoline per gallon
- $2.904▼ 7.4%
- Natural gas per MMBtu
- $2.733▼ 2.2%
Front-month futures via Yahoo Finance, change against previous close. Quoted .
Full ledger
Latest to earliest
316 sourced entries
Parliament speaker calls the American account of talks fake news

Ghalibaf denied talks and alleged that U.S. claims were intended to move oil markets.Illustration · not evidence Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf wrote on X that "no negotiations have been held with the US," hours after Trump described very good and productive conversations. Ghalibaf added that "fakenews is used to manipulate the financial and oil markets and escape the quagmire in which the US and Israel are trapped."
- Local time
- 10:00 AM Tehran time, Aug 4, 2026
- Location
- Tehran, Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Source Trump frames the round as a last chance while Tehran points back at the memorandum

Washington and Tehran were still trying to begin from different starting points.Illustration · not evidence Trump said talks were under way and described the moment as a last chance for a deal, after the strikes he had ordered were called off. Tehran urged Washington to honour the June 17 memorandum it says the United States disregarded from the outset.
- Local time
- 1:00 PM New York time, Aug 3, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C., United States
- Relationship
- Update
Source Foreign ministry says the only live channel runs through Muscat

The two capitals gave contradictory accounts; Tehran identified Oman as its active channel.Illustration · not evidence Iran's foreign ministry said there were no negotiations underway with the United States, and that its talks were with Oman on management of the Strait of Hormuz. The statement directly contradicted the Monday negotiations Trump had announced the day before. Spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei had earlier said the strait "will in no way return to the status it was before February 28th."
- Local time
- 11:00 AM Tehran time, Aug 3, 2026
- Location
- Tehran, Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Source Strike called off as Trump says the perimeters of a deal are in place

Trump said three Gulf hosts asked Washington to stand down before the planned strike was canceled.Illustration · not evidence Trump cancelled the planned strike on Iran, saying the "perimeters" of a deal had been reached and that negotiations with Tehran would begin Monday, with no deadline set. He said Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar and Iran had all asked him to call it off. Iranian military sources rejected the account that Tehran had pleaded for restraint as a "new lie," and acting Defence Minister Majid Ebn-e-Reza called the pullback part of "psychological operations and a war of calculations." Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said separately that the Oman track on the strait was progressing.
- Local time
- 4:00 PM New York time, Aug 2, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C., United States
- Relationship
- Update
Source State Department warns Americans region-wide as new strikes are prepared

A State Department warning broadened as separate reporting pointed to preparations for new strikes.Illustration · not evidence The State Department issued warnings to U.S. citizens across the Middle East as reporting indicated Washington was preparing fresh strikes on Iran as soon as that weekend. Trump had told a Cabinet meeting the previous day, "We will be hitting them very hard." Mediators from Qatar and Pakistan worked to head off the escalation, including calls with U.S. envoy Steve Witkoff. Separately, the UK Maritime Trade Operations centre reported a tanker struck by an unknown projectile near the entrance to the strait off Oman.
- Local time
- 2:00 PM New York time, Aug 1, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C. / Middle East
- Relationship
- Update
Source Blockade tally: 24 vessels turned back, two disabled, two boarded

UANI's reported enforcement count through July 30, shown with explicit source attribution.Illustration · not evidence United Against Nuclear Iran reported that since U.S. forces reimposed the blockade on July 14, they had redirected 24 commercial vessels attempting to run it, disabled two that did not comply and boarded two more, as of July 30. The same tracking counted 66 tankers leaving the Gulf of Oman laden with Iranian oil and petrochemicals since the June 14 memorandum, roughly 80 million barrels. Laden tankers are clustering in anchorages along the Iranian coast.
- Local time
- 3:00 PM New York time, Jul 31, 2026
- Location
- Gulf of Oman / Iranian coast
- Relationship
- Update
Source LNG carrier Gaslog Shanghai disabled leaving the strait

The Gaslog Shanghai was reported disabled while leaving Hormuz with Qatari LNG.Illustration · not evidence The Bermuda-flagged liquefied natural gas carrier Gaslog Shanghai was struck by a projectile and disabled while exiting the Strait of Hormuz carrying Qatari LNG.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM Dubai time, Jul 31, 2026
- Location
- Strait of Hormuz
- Relationship
- Update
Source Explosions at Bandar Abbas and Kish after a heavy wave of U.S. strikes

Press TV reported early-hours blasts at Bandar Abbas and around Kish after a U.S. strike wave.Illustration · not evidence Iranian state broadcaster Press TV reported blasts in southern Iran in the early hours of Thursday local time, including at the port city of Bandar Abbas near the Strait of Hormuz and around Gulf islands including Kish. The Revolutionary Guard said it would "punish the aggressor today," warned that states assisting the United States would receive a harsh response, and asserted it retains full control of the strait.
- Local time
- 2:00 AM Tehran time, Jul 30, 2026
- Location
- Bandar Abbas and Kish Island, Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Source Brent jumps past 90 dollars as Trump promises retaliation

Brent reached $90.66, up more than 7%, as Trump promised retaliation on July 29.Illustration · not evidence Brent crude rose more than 7 percent to 90.66 dollars a barrel by 2:30 p.m. Eastern after Trump said it was "our turn" following the intercepted Iranian attack and promised a response. The United States said it had completed a round of strikes on Iran.
- Local time
- 2:30 PM New York time, Jul 29, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C. / global oil market
- Relationship
- Update
Source Pezeshkian tells Iranians to stand firm as Washington blames the IRGC

Pezeshkian urged Iranians to stand firm while Washington accused the IRGC of surprise attacks.Illustration · not evidence President Masoud Pezeshkian urged Iranians to stand firm against what he called the enemy, as the United States accused the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps of carrying out surprise ballistic missile attacks on American positions.
- Local time
- 7:00 PM Tehran time, Jul 29, 2026
- Location
- Tehran, Iran
- Relationship
- Update
Source Netanyahu lands in Washington as Tehran restates its claim over the waterway

Netanyahu arrived in Washington for talks as Tehran renewed its claim over passage through Hormuz.Illustration · not evidence Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu arrived in the United States for talks that Trump characterised as friendly, while Tehran publicly restated that it intends to retain control over passage through the Strait of Hormuz.
- Local time
- 4:00 PM New York time, Jul 28, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C., United States
- Relationship
- Update
Source U.S. says it intercepted a surprise Iranian attack on its forces

U.S. officials said forces intercepted a surprise Iranian attack and struck Iran-aligned groups in Iraq alongside Saudi forces.Illustration · not evidence U.S. forces intercepted what officials described as a surprise attack by Iran on American positions in the Middle East. The United States said it also struck Iran-aligned groups in Iraq in an operation carried out alongside Saudi forces.
- Local time
- 10:00 AM Dubai time, Jul 28, 2026
- Location
- U.S. positions, Middle East
- Relationship
- Update
Source Trump says Tehran asked for the pause; Iran says no talks exist

Trump said Tehran requested the halt; Iran denied that U.S. negotiations existed.Illustration · not evidence President Trump said Washington had halted strikes on Iran at Tehran's own request, telling reporters "They asked us very nicely, 'Please stop, let's meet.'" Iranian foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baghaei contradicted the account, saying "We have no negotiations with the United States at present." Iran said its only active channel was with Oman, over management of the Strait of Hormuz.
- Local time
- 12:00 PM New York time, Jul 27, 2026
- Location
- Washington, D.C., United States
- Relationship
- Update
Source US and Iran mark second consecutive day of strike pauses

AP and The Washington Post reported a second day of paused strikes while U.S. officials said naval interdiction remained.Illustration · not evidence CAIRO/AP and Washington Post reports said the U.S. military paused strikes on Iran for a second straight day and Tehran publicly said it was also pausing attacks. The pause was described as a sign of continuing mediation over an interim ceasefire, even as U.S. officials said naval interdiction of Iranian-linked shipping remains in place.
- Local time
- 5:28 PM Cairo time, Jul 26, 2026
- Location
- Strait of Hormuz / Gulf region
- Relationship
- Update
Sources Iran says US bases in Gulf states were targeted in retaliation

Al Jazeera reported Iran's claim that U.S. bases in Jordan, Kuwait and Bahrain were targeted; the feed records no independent confirmation.Illustration · not evidence Iranian military officials said the latest retaliatory actions centered on U.S. bases in Jordan, Kuwait, and Bahrain, and Al Jazeera reported that U.S. media said strike activity on Iran had been paused over the weekend. The report suggests a continued pattern of pressure on U.S. regional basing rather than only on Iranian territory.
- Local time
- 7:00 AM UTC time, Jul 26, 2026
- Location
- Gulf region
- Relationship
- Update
Source Iran says no overnight U.S. strikes as Gulf alerts continue

AP reported Iran said no U.S. strikes occurred overnight; alerts in Saudi Arabia and Bahrain were later lifted without reported casualties.Illustration · not evidence Iran said it had a peaceful night with no strikes overnight into Saturday, and reported that U.S. Central Command had not announced another strike round. In the same update, Saudi civil-defense authorities said they had briefly activated warning sirens in Yanbu and Jizan, both on the Red Sea coast, and Bahrain also issued missile alerts. The alerts were lifted without casualty reports.
- Local time
- 1:23 PM Tehran time, Jul 25, 2026
- Location
- Cairo, Saudi Arabia (Yanbu/Jizan), Bahrain
- Relationship
- Update
Source