U.S. official puts signing odds near 80-85%

A senior Trump administration official said Washington was roughly 80-85% confident a U.S.-Iran agreement would be signed in the coming days, while Sky reported the same official describing Hormuz reopening, blockade relief, enriched-material transfer, nuclear dismantlement and performance-based sanctions relief as not quite finished. CBS separately carried Vance's warning that Iran gets no cash or funds merely for signing.

Why this matters. The final-text claim now has a U.S. confidence marker, but not a signed instrument; the watch shifts to whether Iran accepts the performance gate, whether Hormuz and port-blockade steps are executed, and whether Israel treats Lebanon carveouts as binding.