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Iran war

Shipping, energy & markets

Hormuz and Red Sea shipping, oil and gas, aviation, and market moves.

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Wednesday, June 10, 20265 entries

  1. 2:05 PM in New York

    Trump claims a secret U.S. mission moved 100 million barrels of oil through Hormuz

    Trump posted that he had directed a 'secret mission' in which the U.S. military helped oil tankers and other ships through the Strait of Hormuz, claiming more than 200 commercial ships and over 100 million barrels had passed and that the U.S., 'NOT Iran', controls the strait. He gave no evidence; AP said the figure could not be confirmed, and a CENTCOM spokesman said only that U.S. forces 'communicate and coordinate' with commercial ships.

    Why it matters AP noted that 100 million barrels is roughly five days of pre-war Hormuz flows; Iran's military declared the strait closed to all ships that night.

    Sources: Times of Israel / Reuters, Associated Press live coverage, The Guardian live coverage, Washington Examiner, Al Jazeera live blog, The Guardian live blog, Associated Press

  2. 10:50 AM in New York

    U.S. inflation rises to 4.2 percent in May, a three-year high driven by gas prices

    Consumer prices rose 4.2 percent in May from a year earlier, up from 3.8 percent in April, the Labor Department said, and 0.5 percent on the month; AP attributed the rise mainly to gas prices pushed up by the war.

    Why it matters It was the third straight monthly rise, adding pressure at home as Trump threatened more strikes on Iran that day.

    Sources: Associated Press, Al Jazeera live blog

  3. 9:59 AM in New York

    Shell's chief executive says the Hormuz closure is causing disruption 'never seen before'

    Shell CEO Wael Sawan told a Wall Street Journal summit that more than 10 percent of global oil production and about 20 percent of global LNG output had been knocked offline since the war began, and that the disruption was 'particularly acute in Asia', with Vietnam, Indonesia and Thailand rationing fuel and Pakistan and the Philippines moving to four-day working weeks.

    Why it matters Asked when Hormuz might reopen, he said it was 'very difficult to call'.

    Sources: The Guardian live coverage, Channels Television / AFP, The Guardian live blog

  4. 4:41 PM in Jerusalem

    Kpler says a tanker is carrying Gulf crude to Europe for the first time since March

    Kpler tracking data showed the Marshall Islands-flagged Advantage Victory, which passed through the Strait of Hormuz on May 27 with 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude, had set Rotterdam as its destination and was due on July 7, the first Gulf crude cargo bound for Europe since March 1. About 103 tankers carrying 185 million barrels of crude had left the Gulf through Hormuz since March 1, Kpler said.

    Why it matters Most tankers that left the Gulf after mid-April had gone to Asia or the Middle East, so a European cargo marked a small widening of the trade still getting out.

    Sources: Times of Israel / AFP citing Kpler, Al Jazeera live blog

  5. 2:00 PM in Muscat

    U.S. strike disables tanker Settebello off Oman; three Indian crew are missing

    UKMTO reported an engine-room fire on a Palau-flagged tanker about 20 nautical miles northeast of Oman's Sohar, and CENTCOM later said a U.S. aircraft fired precision munitions into the engine room of the M/T Settebello, which it said was carrying Iranian oil and had repeatedly ignored U.S. directions, the eighth ship disabled under the blockade. India said 21 of its sailors were rescued and three were missing, and summoned a senior U.S. diplomat; the IMO secretary-general condemned any act endangering seafarers.

    Why it matters India said the next day that the three seafarers had been killed and later raised the deaths with Secretary of State Rubio.

    Sources: U.S. Central Command, Associated Press, CBS News live coverage, UK Maritime Trade Operations, AJOT / International Maritime Organization, Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2), Al Jazeera live blog (3), Al Jazeera live blog (4), Al Jazeera live blog (5), The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2), The Guardian live blog (3)

Tuesday, June 9, 20264 entries

  1. 12:10 PM in Tokyo, Jun 10

    Oil rebounds to about $92 and Asian stocks fall after the U.S.-Iran exchange of strikes

    Brent crude rose 0.9 percent to $92.29 a barrel and U.S. WTI 0.8 percent to $88.97 in early Asian trade, moving off a seven-week low as U.S. strikes on Iran and Iranian retaliation unsettled markets; Japan's Nikkei fell 0.9 percent and South Korea's KOSPI 2 percent, and both extended their losses later in the session.

    Why it matters A Saxo strategist said oil holding near $90 showed markets were not pricing a sustained supply disruption, leaving room for a sharper move if energy sites or shipping were hit.

    Sources: Guardian live, ABC News markets live, Al Jazeera live blog, The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2)

  2. 3:20 PM in New York

    EIA says Middle East producers have cut output by more than 11 million barrels a day

    The U.S. Energy Information Administration said Middle East oil producers had cut output by more than 11 million barrels a day with the Strait of Hormuz blocked, lowered its forecast so that global demand this year is 1.1 million barrels a day below last year, and said OECD oil inventories were expected to fall to their lowest since 2003.

    Why it matters The figures put a size on the supply loss behind the price swings driven by deal headlines, which Shell's chief executive called unprecedented the next day.

    Source: Al Jazeera live blog

  3. 7:20 PM in London

    IMO chief says safe passage through Hormuz 'cannot be considered to exist'

    IMO Secretary-General Arsenio Dominguez said he was increasingly concerned that ships kept trying to transit the Strait of Hormuz without credible security guarantees, that 'safe passage cannot be considered to exist', and that no commercial consideration justified exposing seafarers to such danger. The same day U.S. Energy Secretary Chris Wright said ship traffic through the strait was rising 'very meaningfully'.

    Why it matters The warning put responsibility on shipowners and masters as the U.S. encouraged transits, and a tanker off Oman was struck the next day.

    Sources: IMO official statement, Business Recorder / Reuters, Times of Israel / Reuters live, Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2)

  4. 3:28 PM in London

    Oil falls about 4 percent to a seven-week low after Trump says an Iran deal is close

    Brent crude fell $3.40, or 3.6 percent, to $90.85 a barrel at 14:28 GMT and U.S. WTI fell 4.1 percent to $87.59, putting Brent on course for its lowest close since April 17, after Trump said a deal with Iran was in its 'final throes'. AFP reported later in the day that oil had fallen below $90 a barrel.

    Why it matters The drop came hours before the Apache dispute and U.S. strikes on Iran, and Brent was back above $92 in Asian trading the next morning.

    Sources: Al Jazeera live, CBS News live, Times of Israel / AFP live, Financial Times, Al Jazeera live blog, The Guardian live blog

Monday, June 8, 20262 entries

  1. 3:30 AM in Muscat, Jun 9

    U.S. Army Apache goes down off Oman near Hormuz; a sea drone rescues both crew

    A U.S. Army AH-64 Apache went down off Oman near the Strait of Hormuz on the evening of June 8, U.S. time, and CENTCOM said an unmanned surface vessel from Task Force 59 rescued both crew members within about two hours, the first such rescue by a drone; the crew were in stable condition. CENTCOM said the cause was under investigation.

    Why it matters Trump said the next day that Iran shot the helicopter down and ordered strikes on Iran, while Iran denied deliberately targeting it.

    Sources: AP, Axios, L'Orient Today live, CBS News, Al Jazeera live blog, The Guardian live blog

  2. 5:00 PM in Muscat

    U.S. disables tanker Marivex off Oman; its 24 Indian crew are evacuated safely

    CENTCOM said a U.S. fighter fired a precision missile into the engineering and steering spaces of the empty tanker Marivex, which was heading to Iran and whose crew had ignored U.S. directions, bringing the blockade's total to seven disabled vessels and 134 redirected. UKMTO said a fire forced the crew to evacuate off Oman, and India's shipping directorate said all 24 Indian sailors aboard were safe.

    Why it matters Two days later a U.S. strike on another tanker, the Settebello, left three Indian seafarers missing and led India to summon a U.S. diplomat.

    Sources: Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2), Al Jazeera live blog (3), Associated Press

Sunday, June 7, 20261 entry

  1. 4:20 PM in Vienna

    OPEC+ raises July output quotas by 188,000 barrels a day while Hormuz stays shut

    Ministers from Saudi Arabia, Russia, Iraq, Kuwait, Kazakhstan, Algeria and Oman agreed at a video meeting to raise production quotas by 188,000 barrels a day in July, saying the move aimed to support market stability.

    Why it matters A Rystad Energy analyst said the increase meant little while the Strait of Hormuz remained closed, because the market was short of barrels that could physically move.

    Source: Al Jazeera live blog

Thursday, June 4, 20261 entry

  1. 6:30 AM in Muscat, Jun 5

    Reuters says Oman halted Mina al-Fahal loading after a blast; operator says port is normal

    Reuters, citing three sources, reported that Oman suspended crude loading at its main Mina al-Fahal export terminal after an explosion between two single-buoy mooring berths that the sources attributed to a drone attack. Petroleum Development Oman later said operations at the port were proceeding normally; the terminal exports 800,000 to 900,000 barrels a day.

    Why it matters The terminal sits on the Gulf of Oman outside Hormuz, and several supertankers were seen anchored off the port as the conflicting accounts emerged.

    Sources: Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2)

Monday, June 1, 20261 entry

  1. 5:50 PM in Baghdad

    Container ship MSC Sariska V hit off Iraq; IRGC says it fired a cruise missile

    UKMTO said a cargo ship about 40 nautical miles southeast of Iraq's Umm Qasr was hit by an unknown projectile that caused a large explosion, and Iraqi officials said a drone caused the blast and the fire was brought under control with no casualties. The IRGC said it targeted the 'US-owned', Panama-flagged MSC Sariska V with a cruise missile; MSC confirmed the ship was struck by two projectiles and called the attack 'completely unjustified', saying it is a neutral Swiss-based carrier.

    Why it matters Iranian media said the strike answered an attack on an Iranian ship near Oman, showing the IRGC responding to the U.S. blockade by hitting merchant ships it links to the U.S.

    Sources: Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2), Al Jazeera live blog (3), Al Jazeera live blog (4)

Tuesday, April 14, 20261 entry

  1. 12:00 PM in Paris

    IEA quantifies the March oil shock from the Iran war

    The IEA's April Oil Market Report said global oil supply fell sharply in March as attacks on Middle East energy infrastructure and restricted Strait of Hormuz tanker movement produced a historic disruption.

    Why it matters This is the market baseline for every later Hormuz headline. Price moves cannot be read only as diplomacy sentiment; the physical supply and shipping system had already been stressed by March.

    Sources: IEA Oil Market Report April 2026, EIA Hormuz chokepoint analysis

Tuesday, March 31, 20261 entry

  1. 3:38 AM in New York

    U.S. average gasoline price tops $4 a gallon for the first time since 2022

    Motor club AAA put the national average for regular gasoline at $4.02 a gallon, more than a dollar higher than before the war began and the highest since 2022, after Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

    Why it matters Pump prices bring the war's cost home to U.S. voters, and Trump responded the same day by telling other countries to secure Hormuz themselves.

    Sources: Associated Press, Associated Press (2)

Monday, March 30, 20262 entries

  1. 4:02 AM in Dubai, Mar 31

    Drone strike sets fully loaded Kuwaiti supertanker on fire off Dubai

    Dubai's media office said a drone hit the Kuwaiti crude tanker Al-Salmi in Dubai waters overnight, starting a fire that was extinguished; all 24 crew were safe and no leak was reported. Kuwait Petroleum Corp. blamed Iran, and Lloyd's List and TankerTrackers data showed the ship carrying about 2 million barrels of Kuwaiti and Saudi crude bound for Qingdao, China.

    Why it matters The strike hit a fully loaded tanker at anchor in Emirati waters, showing that cargoes waiting inside the Gulf are exposed even before they attempt the strait.

    Sources: Associated Press, CBS News (AFP), Associated Press (2), Al Jazeera

  2. 12:13 PM in Jerusalem

    Fire breaks out at Haifa oil refinery after missile barrage

    A fire broke out on a distillates tank at the Bazan oil refinery in Haifa after a salvo of missiles and drones from Iran and Lebanon, the second time the refinery has been hit in the war. Fire officials said the blaze was contained with no casualties or hazardous-materials risk; it was unclear whether a direct hit or interception debris caused it.

    Why it matters Israel has only two refineries, and repeated hits on Bazan mirror Israel's strikes on Iranian gas and petrochemical sites as energy infrastructure becomes a target on both sides.

    Sources: Associated Press, Associated Press (2), CBS News (AFP), Al Jazeera

Sunday, March 29, 20263 entries

  1. 12:53 AM UTC, Mar 30

    Brent crude tops $116 a barrel as the Houthis join the war

    Brent rose more than 3% in early Monday trading to top $116 a barrel, its highest since March 19, after the Houthis attacked Israel and Iran warned against a U.S. ground invasion; Japan's Nikkei and South Korea's KOSPI fell more than 4%. Brent was just over $70 when the war began on Feb. 28.

    Why it matters G7 finance ministers said later that day they stood ready to take 'all necessary measures' to stabilize energy markets, a sign governments expect the price shock to last.

    Sources: Al Jazeera, Associated Press, Al Jazeera (2)

  2. 3:52 AM in Kuwait, Mar 30

    Attack on Kuwaiti power and desalination plant kills an Indian worker

    Kuwait's Electricity Ministry said an Iranian attack on a service building at a power and water desalination plant killed an Indian worker and caused significant damage, while power and water supplies continued. Kuwait said drones had also hit a military camp the previous evening, injuring 10 servicemen; Iran's military command blamed Israel for the plant attack without offering evidence.

    Why it matters Desalination plants are crucial to Gulf water supplies, and the deadly hit came hours before Trump threatened Iran's own desalination plants.

    Sources: Al Jazeera, Associated Press

  3. 10:02 PM in Tehran

    Strikes on electricity facilities cut power in Tehran and Alborz provinces

    Iran's Energy Ministry said power was cut in Tehran, the surrounding region and Alborz province, including Karaj, after attacks on electricity industry facilities; Fars later said the outages were being resolved. The Israeli military said it dropped more than 120 munitions on weapons research and production sites in Tehran that day.

    Why it matters Damage to the grid came as Trump's April 6 deadline for strikes on Iran's power plants approached, and it was not clear the outages were connected to that threat.

    Sources: Associated Press, Al Jazeera

Saturday, March 28, 20261 entry

  1. 12:20 AM in Karachi, Mar 29

    Iran agrees to let 20 more Pakistani-flagged ships through Hormuz

    Pakistan's Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said Iran had agreed to let 20 additional Pakistani-flagged vessels transit the Strait of Hormuz at a rate of two a day, calling it a constructive gesture. He addressed his post to Vice President JD Vance, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, envoy Steve Witkoff and Iran's Abbas Araghchi.

    Why it matters Selective passage for friendly flags rewards Pakistan's mediation, but also shows Tehran deciding who uses the strait while overall traffic remains down about 90%.

    Sources: Associated Press, Al Jazeera

Wednesday, March 25, 20262 entries

  1. 8:27 AM in Tehran, Mar 26

    Iran runs a de facto toll booth in Hormuz as parliament drafts a transit-fee bill

    Lloyd's List Intelligence said ships must now give Iran's Revolutionary Guard their manifests, crew details and destinations for vetting before transiting, and that at least two vessels had paid for passage in Chinese yuan. Fars and Tasnim quoted lawmaker Mohammadreza Rezaei Kouchi as saying parliament was pursuing a plan to codify Iran's sovereignty over the strait and collect fees.

    Why it matters A legal fee regime would turn a wartime chokehold into a standing claim over an international waterway, a step Gulf Arab states and the U.S. are expected to oppose.

    Sources: Associated Press, Associated Press (2), Associated Press (3)

  2. 1:46 PM in Paris

    France says Gulf war damage has taken 11 million barrels a day off the oil market

    French Finance Minister Roland Lescure said 30% to 40% of Gulf refining capacity had been damaged or destroyed, leaving the oil market short about 11 million barrels a day. He said 17% of Qatar's gas production capacity had been destroyed and would take about three years to restore.

    Why it matters The estimate means the supply loss would outlast any reopening of Hormuz, because damaged refineries and gas trains take months to years to repair.

    Source: Associated Press

Tuesday, March 24, 20261 entry

  1. 4:42 PM in Dubai

    Indian gas tankers and a Chinese-owned ship cross Hormuz on Iran-approved routes

    India said two Indian-flagged LPG tankers carrying roughly a day's supply of its cooking gas crossed the strait late Monday on a route approved by Iran close to its coast, and tracking data showed the Chinese-owned container ship Newvoyager transited Iran's pay-to-pass corridor between Larak and Qeshm islands.

    Why it matters A trickle of ships from countries Iran does not treat as enemies was moving on Tehran's terms, entrenching its control over who can use the strait.

    Sources: Associated Press, Associated Press (2)

Monday, March 23, 20262 entries

  1. 11:10 PM in Dubai

    U.S. officials say Iran has laid about a dozen mines in the Strait of Hormuz

    U.S. officials told CBS News that current intelligence assessments show at least a dozen Iranian-made Maham 3 and Maham 7 limpet mines in the strait, though another official put the count at fewer than a dozen. Earlier Monday, Iran's National Defense Council warned it would lay mines across all access routes in the Persian Gulf if Iran's coasts or islands were attacked.

    Why it matters Mines would keep the strait dangerous after any ceasefire, and officials had told CBS that allies such as Britain and Japan might send mine-detection equipment only after hostilities end.

    Sources: CBS News, CBS News (2), CBS News (3)

  2. 11:49 AM in London

    Oil tumbles as much as 10% and stocks jump after Trump pauses power-plant strikes

    Brent crude fell as much as $9.02 to $103.17 a barrel and U.S. crude slid to $90 after Trump's announcement, while S&P 500 futures rose 2.6%. Moves faded after Iran denied talks, but Brent ended back below $100 and the S&P 500 closed 1.1% higher, its best day since the war began.

    Why it matters The swing showed prices reacting to Washington's threats and talk of diplomacy even though the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed.

    Sources: Associated Press, Associated Press (2), Associated Press (3)

Sunday, March 22, 20261 entry

  1. 7:59 PM in Tehran

    Iran's military command says Hormuz will be 'completely closed' if power plants are hit

    Iran's Khatam al-Anbiya military command said that if U.S. threats against Iran's power plants were carried out, the Strait of Hormuz would be completely closed until the plants were rebuilt, and that Israel's power and energy infrastructure and power plants in countries hosting U.S. bases would be struck. Iran's Foreign Ministry separately said safe passage remained possible for vessels not linked to the U.S., Israel or other "participants in the aggression."

    Why it matters Tehran was formalizing a two-tier strait, open to neutral shipping on its terms but closed to its enemies, while threatening a total shutdown if its grid was hit.

    Sources: CBS News, Associated Press

Thursday, March 19, 20262 entries

  1. 12:37 AM in Qatar, Mar 20

    Qatar says Iranian strikes cut 17% of its LNG export capacity for up to five years

    Energy Minister Saad al-Kaabi said the missile strikes on Ras Laffan reduced Qatar's LNG export capacity by about 17% and would cost about $20 billion a year in lost revenue, with repairs to the two damaged LNG units taking three to five years. He said buyers in China, South Korea, Italy and Belgium would be affected.

    Why it matters This turned the Ras Laffan attack from a war-time outage into a multi-year loss of global LNG supply that Europe and Asia must now replace.

    Sources: CBS News, Associated Press

  2. 8:21 AM in London

    Brent jumps above $114 and European gas 24% after attacks on Gulf energy sites

    Brent crude rose to near $114 a barrel, and to $116.38 later in the morning, up from under $73 on the eve of the war, while Europe's TTF gas benchmark traded 24% higher. Brent briefly topped $119 before receding, and U.S. stocks recovered most of their early losses by the close.

    Why it matters Markets began pricing lasting damage to Gulf oil and gas output rather than only a temporary Hormuz closure, which raises the risk of a prolonged inflation shock.

    Sources: Associated Press, Associated Press (2), CBS News (AP), Associated Press (3)

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