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Iran war

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Thursday, July 9, 20262 entries

  1. 1:07 PM in Tehran

    Iran reports U.S. strikes near the Bushehr nuclear plant; officials say it was not damaged

    Mehr reported several explosions in Bushehr province, including near the nuclear power plant and at a fishing port in Asaluyeh. One Iranian official accused the U.S. of targeting the plant's perimeter, while the provincial governor denied the plant was attacked and officials said there was no damage or casualties.

    Why it matters Bushehr is Iran's only operating nuclear power plant, so strikes near it bring a nuclear-safety risk into the renewed fighting; that evening a U.S. official said new explosions reported in the area were not U.S. strikes.

    Sources: L'Orient Today live, The Guardian live, The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2), Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2)

  2. 10:11 AM in Beirut

    Lebanon says it will join Rome talks only if Israel leaves two 'pilot zones'

    Lebanon will attend the next round of direct negotiations with Israel in Rome the following week only if Israel withdraws from two 'pilot zones' in the south, a diplomatic source familiar with the talks told AFP.

    Why it matters The Washington framework ties Israeli withdrawal to Hezbollah's disarmament, and Beirut was trying to secure a first withdrawal before any disarmament steps.

    Sources: L'Orient Today, Associated Press, L'Orient Today (2)

Wednesday, July 8, 20261 entry

  1. 5:00 AM in New York

    Oil jumps 6% as Trump declares the deal over, then holds near $77

    Brent rose 6% to about $78 a barrel after Trump said the deal with Iran was over, up from $71.80 at the end of the previous week. On July 9 it eased 0.7% to $77.45, and it ended the week at about $76, while the average U.S. gasoline price rose 5 cents overnight to $3.85, according to AAA.

    Why it matters The jump ended a steady fall in fuel prices that had followed the memorandum; Brent had dropped below its pre-war level two weeks earlier.

    Sources: Associated Press markets, Associated Press fuel prices, CNBC, Al Jazeera, Al Jazeera live blog, The Guardian live blog, CNN live updates

Sunday, June 28, 20261 entry

  1. 9:15 PM in New York

    U.S. officials say both sides will stand down and meet in Doha; Iran denies any meeting

    A U.S. official told Reuters that Washington and Tehran had agreed to halt hostilities, with vessels free to move and technical talks to continue in Doha, and Trump later posted that 'Iran has requested a meeting' there. Iran's foreign ministry said no meetings with the U.S. were planned at any level, and Qatar said U.S. envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff were in Doha but would not meet Iranian officials, adding that $6 billion in frozen Iranian funds had not been transferred.

    Why it matters The strikes stopped, but the dispute over who runs the strait and over the frozen funds was left unresolved.

    Sources: Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2), Al Jazeera live blog (3)

Thursday, June 25, 20261 entry

  1. 11:41 AM in New York

    Brent falls below its pre-war price as tanker traffic through Hormuz picks up

    Brent crude fell to a low of $72.24 a barrel, slightly below its level the day before the war began on February 28 and down more than 20% in June, as vessel traffic through the strait doubled in 24 hours to its highest since late February. Prices rose about 2% later in the day after a ship was hit off Oman.

    Why it matters The whole war premium in oil had been erased eight days after the memorandum was signed, which is why the attacks on shipping that week moved prices again.

    Sources: The Guardian, Al Jazeera live blog

Monday, June 15, 20261 entry

  1. 4:00 PM in New York

    Oil falls to a three-month low and the Dow closes at a record on the Iran deal

    Brent crude fell about 4% to around $83 a barrel on Monday, touching just over $82, its lowest since March 10, as markets bet the Strait of Hormuz would reopen; European wholesale gas fell 6% and the Dow closed at a record high.

    Why it matters Brent had traded near $93 four days earlier; analysts told The Guardian that oil and gas supplies were still unlikely to return to pre-war levels for months even if the strait reopened.

    Sources: NBC News, The Guardian, Al Jazeera live blog

Saturday, June 13, 20262 entries

  1. 2:07 PM in Beirut

    Israeli forces push toward Ali Taher near Nabatieh; Lebanese army leaves Kfar Tebnit post

    AP reported that Lebanese army troops withdrew from their barracks in Kfar Tebnit as Israeli forces advanced toward the strategic Ali Taher hill near Nabatieh, where L'Orient Today reported heavy clashes. The Israeli military said it hit more than 70 Hezbollah sites in the past day, and the Lebanese army said an Israeli drone seriously wounded one of its soldiers near Nabatieh.

    Why it matters Fighting for the Ali Taher hills continued after the U.S.-Iran deal; on June 21 Netanyahu exempted that battle from an order to hold fire in Lebanon.

    Sources: Associated Press, Times of Israel live, Times of Israel live (2), Times of Israel live (3), L'Orient Today live, Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2)

  2. 5:50 AM in New York

    CNN reports Iran sealed uranium storage tunnels and mined their entrances

    CNN reported, citing sources, that Iran had in recent weeks moved to seal its near-weapons-grade uranium stockpile, collapsing tunnel entrances and laying mines, amid fears of a U.S. operation to seize the material, which sources described as highly risky.

    Why it matters It bore directly on the U.S. demand that Iran's enriched uranium be removed under a deal, and on the Pentagon contingency plans CBS had reported the day before.

    Sources: CNN transcript (CNR, June 13), CNN transcript (CNR, June 13) (2), CNN Arabic archive

Friday, June 12, 20266 entries

  1. 10:36 PM in Dubai

    Reuters says the UAE agreed to unlock Iranian funds to halt attacks; the UAE denies it

    Two regional sources told Reuters the UAE had agreed to release $10 billion in Iranian funds, more than $3 billion of it already delivered, and two others put the total at $20 billion, in return for a halt to Iranian attacks on the UAE. The UAE foreign ministry denied that any frozen Iranian funds had been released or transferred.

    Why it matters Frozen assets were one of the main open issues in the U.S.-Iran talks, and the UAE had been among the Gulf states hit hardest by Iranian fire.

    Sources: Guardian live / Reuters, Axios, Guardian oil, The Times of Israel, Al Jazeera / Reuters, Hindustan Times live, The Guardian live blog

  2. 2:18 PM in New York

    U.S. military plans how to secure Iran's enriched uranium if a deal is reached, CBS says

    U.S. officials told CBS News the Pentagon was planning how it could support Energy Department teams in locating, securing and removing Iran's highly enriched uranium, including a scenario deploying troops to several Middle East countries for a rapid-response operation; officials stressed the planning was preliminary and not a decision to act.

    Why it matters A senior administration official said the same day that under a deal Iran's uranium would be 'destroyed on site and then taken out of the country', which Iran rejected in favour of diluting it at home.

    Sources: CNN transcripts, CBS News

  3. 4:38 PM in Hong Kong

    Oil falls to its lowest since the war's first week on hopes of a U.S.-Iran deal

    Brent, near $93 before Trump called off the strikes, briefly fell below $85 a barrel on Friday and ended about 3% lower at around $87.50, its lowest since the first week of the war, while U.S. stocks extended their rally.

    Why it matters Analysts said headlines rather than ship movements were driving prices, since Hormuz had not reopened.

    Sources: Associated Press markets report, The Guardian live, The Guardian, Associated Press, CBS News live, The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2)

  4. 12:02 PM in Tehran

    Iranian media publish draft deal terms: Lebanon included, Hormuz under Iranian control

    Mehr published a 14-point list it said was in the draft memorandum, including an immediate end to war on all fronts including Lebanon, lifting the U.S. blockade and reopening Hormuz 'with Iranian arrangements' within 30 days, suspension of oil sanctions, release of $24 billion in frozen funds and 60 days of nuclear talks, with missiles and support for armed groups off the agenda. IRNA said Iran would not give up management of the strait and state media said Iran would keep its right to enrich.

    Why it matters Trump called these terms 'fake news' hours later; the U.S. account had Iran's enriched uranium destroyed and removed and no money released before Iran performed.

    Sources: The Guardian live, Axios, CBS News Iran war live updates, L'Orient Today morning brief, BSS / AFP, Dawn / AFP, CBS News live, Times of Israel live, Anadolu Agency, The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2), The Guardian live blog (3), Al Jazeera live blog

  5. 11:00 AM in Dubai

    Data suggest dark tanker runs move about 1.9m barrels a day out of Hormuz

    A Guardian analysis of Trump's claim of a 'secret mission' found that shuttle tankers running with transponders off and ship-to-ship transfers may have moved about 1.9 million barrels a day through the strait since April, according to Kpler, against 15.6 million a day before the war; Lloyd's List said U.S. 'overwatch operations' were helping some of these transits along the Omani coast.

    Why it matters Trump's figure of 100 million barrels could not be fully checked but was broadly consistent with the flows Kpler observed, equal to about five days of normal traffic.

    Source: The Guardian Hormuz explainer

  6. 2:39 AM in New York

    U.S. planes head to Europe for a possible Geneva signing; Iran calls a Sunday ceremony false

    Axios reported that four U.S. Air Force planes left for Europe to prepare for a possible U.S.-Iran signing in Geneva, where Vice President JD Vance was expected to sign, and Switzerland offered to host it. Iran's Fars news agency, citing a source close to the negotiating team, said reports of a Sunday signing in Geneva were false, and Iran's foreign ministry said it could not discuss a time or place before a decision in Tehran.

    Why it matters The logistics ran ahead of any Iranian approval; the memorandum was eventually signed electronically, not at a ceremony.

    Sources: Times of Israel live update, Axios MOU mechanics report, Times of Israel Trump claim update, The Guardian live, Times of Israel live, Anadolu Agency, The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2), The Guardian live blog (3)

Thursday, June 11, 20269 entries

  1. 10:18 PM in New York

    U.S. forces shoot down two Iranian drones aimed at ships in Hormuz

    U.S. forces shot down two Iranian one-way attack drones as Tehran appeared to try to strike commercial ships transiting the Strait of Hormuz, a U.S. official told Reuters, adding that 'traffic flow through the strait continues'.

    Why it matters The next day Trump called it a 'totally rebuffed Drone attack last night against Indian Ships' and warned Iran to 'get their act together', hours after announcing a deal.

    Sources: The Guardian live coverage, The Guardian live blog

  2. 5:11 PM in New York

    U.S. sources outline draft MOU: 60 days of talks, Hormuz reopening, staged relief

    CBS reported that a U.S.-Iran memorandum was likely to be signed early the next week, opening 60 days of talks, with first steps to demine and reopen Hormuz, Iran committing in principle to a 15-20 year halt to enrichment, and financial relief staggered to match compliance. Axios reported the draft would extend the ceasefire for 60 days including Lebanon, reopen the strait immediately with pre-war shipping volumes within 30 days, and lift sanctions only with compliance.

    Why it matters These were U.S.-side accounts; Iranian media published a very different list of terms the next morning, and Trump called those 'fake news'.

    Sources: CBS News, The Guardian live coverage, Axios, Anadolu Agency, Anadolu Agency (2), Axios (2), AP News, Al Jazeera live coverage, The Times of Israel, The Guardian live

  3. 1:55 PM in New York

    Oil falls to two-month lows after Trump calls off Iran strikes

    Brent futures fell $3.37, or 3.6%, to $89.73 a barrel and U.S. WTI fell $3.20 to $86.83 after Trump cancelled the planned strikes, AP reported. In Asian trading WTI slid a further 1.9% to $86.08 and Brent 1.5% to $89.08, two-month lows, while South Korea's Kospi jumped more than 7%.

    Why it matters Prices were moving on Trump's announcements rather than on ship traffic: Brent had risen to about $94 that morning on his Kharg threat.

    Sources: The Guardian live coverage, The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2)

  4. 6:48 PM in Beirut

    Israeli strikes wound 10 staff at a Tyre hospital and kill one in Mashghara

    A strike about 15 metres from Hiram hospital in Tyre wounded 10 medical and administrative staff, shattered windows and damaged cars, the hospital's director told AFP, saying the area had been targeted six times since the war began. An Israeli strike on Mashghara in West Bekaa killed one person and wounded another, L'Orient Today's correspondent reported.

    Why it matters All three of Tyre's hospitals have been hit since Hezbollah joined the war in early March, and Israeli strikes continued as the U.S. and Iran said a deal covering Lebanon was close.

    Sources: The Guardian live coverage, CBS News live coverage, L'Orient Today live, The Guardian live blog

  5. 6:26 PM in Dubai

    UAE and Iranian security officials meet face to face for the first time in the war

    Senior national security officials from the UAE and Iran held their first face-to-face meeting since the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran began, to try to de-escalate tensions, Bloomberg reported.

    Why it matters The UAE has been one of the Gulf states hit hardest by Iranian fire; the next day Reuters reported that Abu Dhabi had agreed to unlock billions in Iranian funds in return for a halt to attacks, which the UAE denied.

    Sources: The Economic Times / Bloomberg, Report.az / Bloomberg

  6. 12:05 PM in Tehran

    Talks on releasing frozen Iranian funds intensify despite strikes, Reuters says

    Efforts to reach a preliminary U.S.-Iran deal intensified overnight as negotiators discussed a mechanism to release frozen Iranian funds, Iranian sources and a European official told Reuters; one Iranian source said Iran wanted $6 billion to $12 billion released, while Washington wanted staged releases for humanitarian goods.

    Why it matters The money question was one of the main open issues in the memorandum that Trump said that afternoon had been approved.

    Source: The Guardian live coverage / Reuters

  7. 12:32 PM in Dubai

    Three more LNG tankers leave Hormuz with transponders off, tracking data show

    QatarEnergy-controlled Lebrethah and Rasheeda and ADNOC-managed Marigold reappeared on ship-tracking data on June 10 after leaving the Strait of Hormuz dark, with Lebrethah bound for Pakistan and Marigold for India, according to LSEG and Kpler data cited by Reuters. That brings LNG cargoes out of Hormuz since the war began in late February to 12.

    Why it matters Gulf gas is still getting out on dark voyages despite Iran's closure orders, the pattern Trump had described a day earlier as a U.S.-assisted 'secret mission'.

    Sources: Arab News / Reuters, Business Recorder / Reuters, Arab News Pakistan / Reuters

  8. 11:31 AM in Tehran

    Qatari negotiators leave Tehran after overnight talks coordinated with the U.S.

    Qatari negotiators left Tehran after talks with Iranian officials that lasted into the early hours and were 'conducted in coordination with the United States', a diplomat told AFP.

    Why it matters Axios later reported that Qatari envoy Ali Al-Thawadi and Araghchi believed that night they had reached terms both sides could accept, hours before Trump called off further strikes.

    Sources: Times of Israel / AFP, Dawn / AFP, The Guardian live blog

  9. 9:55 AM in Tehran

    Iran says water is restored to 20,000 people after U.S. strikes on Sirik reservoirs

    Iranian state television said water service had been restored within 12 hours to Kouhestak and villages in the Bemani district after U.S. strikes on two reservoirs in Sirik on Wednesday cut drinking water to nearly 20,000 people.

    Why it matters Iran's foreign ministry had called the reservoir strikes a 'calculated war crime'; the U.S. said its strikes that night answered the downing of an Apache helicopter.

    Source: Arab News / AFP

Wednesday, June 10, 20267 entries

  1. 7:41 PM in New York

    Trump tells Fox that Iranian officials asked him to stop the strikes; Iran rejects the claim

    Trump told Fox News he had spoken directly with Iranian officials who asked him to stop the strikes, that the bombing would 'stop shortly' but further strikes remained possible, and that the U.S. had fired 49 Tomahawk missiles at targets in Iran. Iranian officials rejected the claim of direct contact.

    Why it matters The competing claims came as Qatari mediators held talks in Tehran that night.

    Sources: The Guardian live coverage, The Guardian live blog, The Guardian live blog (2), Al Jazeera

  2. 4:05 PM in New York

    NBC says defence firms expect an 'ugly' White House meeting over dwindling missile stocks

    NBC News reported that leaders of about seven defence companies were preparing to meet Trump at the White House later in the week, where he was expected to press them to speed up weapons production amid concern over dwindling U.S. missile and interceptor stocks; one person said the meeting was 'going to be ugly'.

    Why it matters AP had reported in May that contractors would need at least three years to replenish three key weapons used heavily in the Iran war.

    Sources: The Guardian live coverage citing NBC News, The Guardian live blog

  3. 7:47 PM in Beirut

    Israeli strikes hit south Lebanon and the West Bekaa as Hezbollah claims drone attacks

    Israel's army said it struck six Hezbollah sites in Tyre and launchers elsewhere, and its jets hit the Tyre, Nabatieh, Bint Jbeil and Jezzine districts and the West Bekaa, including 16 strikes on Majdal Zoun; NNA said an evening series of strikes killed 12 people and wounded 13, including two paramedics. Hezbollah claimed drone and rocket attacks on troops in Qantara, Zawtar al-Sharqiyah and Bayyada, and the toll since March 2 reached 3,696.

    Why it matters The UN human rights chief said the same day he would send investigators to Lebanon to assess possible violations by all parties.

    Sources: L'Orient Today live coverage, The Guardian live coverage, Times of Israel citing IDF, Al Jazeera live blog, Al Jazeera live blog (2), Al Jazeera live blog (3), Al Jazeera live blog (4), The Guardian live blog

  4. 9:59 AM in New York

    Shell's chief executive says the Hormuz closure is causing disruption 'never seen before'

    Shell CEO Wael Sawan told a Wall Street Journal summit that more than 10 percent of global oil production and about 20 percent of global LNG output had been knocked offline since the war began, and that the disruption was 'particularly acute in Asia', with Vietnam, Indonesia and Thailand rationing fuel and Pakistan and the Philippines moving to four-day working weeks.

    Why it matters Asked when Hormuz might reopen, he said it was 'very difficult to call'.

    Sources: The Guardian live coverage, Channels Television / AFP, The Guardian live blog

  5. 4:41 PM in Jerusalem

    Kpler says a tanker is carrying Gulf crude to Europe for the first time since March

    Kpler tracking data showed the Marshall Islands-flagged Advantage Victory, which passed through the Strait of Hormuz on May 27 with 2 million barrels of Iraqi crude, had set Rotterdam as its destination and was due on July 7, the first Gulf crude cargo bound for Europe since March 1. About 103 tankers carrying 185 million barrels of crude had left the Gulf through Hormuz since March 1, Kpler said.

    Why it matters Most tankers that left the Gulf after mid-April had gone to Asia or the Middle East, so a European cargo marked a small widening of the trade still getting out.

    Sources: Times of Israel / AFP citing Kpler, Al Jazeera live blog

  6. 4:02 PM in Tehran

    Qatari negotiators arrive in Tehran after consulting U.S. officials to narrow gaps in a deal

    A Qatari delegation arrived in Tehran to discuss bilateral relations, regional developments and efforts to end the war, Iranian media said, and a diplomat told AFP the negotiators had travelled after consultations with U.S. officials to address remaining differences between Washington and Tehran.

    Why it matters The visit kept a mediation channel open as the U.S. prepared a second night of strikes; the Qatari team left Tehran the next morning after overnight talks.

    Sources: IranWire, CBS News live coverage, Times of Israel / Reuters, L'Orient Today / AFP, Al Jazeera live blog, The Guardian live blog

  7. 3:23 PM in Beirut

    Israeli drone strike on a car in central Sidon kills two

    An Israeli strike hit a car in the centre of Sidon, killing both people inside and setting nearby cars ablaze, according to AFP, local media and Lebanon's National News Agency.

    Why it matters Sidon had been spared much of the bombing in the south and was sheltering displaced families from areas under Israeli evacuation orders.

    Sources: Arab News / AFP citing Lebanon NNA, Al Jazeera live blog, The Guardian live blog

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